Autocratic regimes in the Middle East are black boxes, and experts constantly disagree over who really moves the levers of power in opaque or compartmentalized authoritarian systems.
Observers can give very different answers to this question — and the answer is sometimes known by only a small handful of regime insiders. When few people really know who’s making the decisions within a place like Iran or Syria, it becomes harder for outside actors to formulate a response to those decisions.
A 30-page internal document obtained and published by researcher, activist, Smith College English professor and Enough Project senior fellow Eric Reeves gives a partial answer to these questions, in one country at least. The minutes of a high-level meeting among security officials in Sudan offers a glimpse into how the sausage is made within one notoriously opaque and deeply problematic Middle Eastern regime.
(On his website, Reeves claims the source of the document is unimpeachable and is firmly standing behind its authenticity. One Sudanese expert contacted by Business Insider said he believes the document is real, although another expressed skepticism about its veracity.)
The document captures the positions of major regime players on various important strategic issues, giving an idea of whose opinion counts — and whose doesn’t. And it places some obscure and shadowy regime figures at the center of the decision-making process, including operatives whose names likely wouldn’t be known to a majority of people inside Sudan itself.