by middleeasteye.net — Washington’s top Middle East diplomat has said Lebanon will likely have to bear more pain before the impoverished Mediterranean country forms a new government, with the potential for a complete “unravelling” of the state. “Things will have to get worse before the public pressure mounts in such a way,” that parliament selects a new president, Barbara Leaf, assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, said at an event hosted by the Wilson Center in Washington DC on Friday. Former President Michel Aoun’s term ended on Sunday without a replacement, leaving the country with a power vacuum with no president and a caretaker government as it grapples with what the World Bank says is one of the world’s worst economic crises in the past 150 years. “I can see scenarios where there is disintegration…where there is just an unravelling,” Leaf said. “I somehow imagine a lot of these parliamentarians packing their bags and going off to places in Europe where they have property.”
It took more than two years for Aoun, former commander of Lebanon’s army during the 1975-1990 civil war, to be selected president in 2016. Lebanon’s sectarian system reserves the presidency for a Maronite Christian, the prime minister’s office for a Sunni Muslim and the Speaker of Parliament role for a Shia. Aoun and his party, the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), allied themselves with Lebanon’s Iran-backed Hezbollah, providing the group with Christian backing in parliament. Aoun’s tenure saw Lebanon slide into an economic crisis that has pushed 80 percent of the country into poverty, while a massive explosion at Beirut’s port in August 2020, widely blamed on corruption, killed more than 200 people and left swaths of the capital destroyed.