A recent survey by the Arab American Institute (AAI) unveils a substantial dip in support for President Joe Biden among Arab American constituents, predominantly due to his staunch backing of Israel amid the escalating conflict. The data illustrates a plummet from 59% in 2020 to 17% currently, marking an unprecedented shift within this demographic. Remarkably, this is the first instance in the AAI’s 26-year history of polling where the majority of Arab Americans don’t favor the Democratic party. The analysis further underscores a growing affinity towards the Republican party, with 40% expressing intent to vote for Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 elections, a five percentage-point uptick from 2020. This trend sets a new record for Arab American affiliation with the Republican party, signaling a significant political reorientation. James Zogby, the president and co-founder of AAI, stressed the importance of recognizing this shift, articulating the necessity of understanding the community’s stance and communicating the potential risks to the administration.
This political realignment could pose challenges for Biden in the 2024 elections, especially in pivotal states like Michigan with substantial Arab American populations. The survey also brings to light a 66% disapproval among Arab Americans regarding Biden’s handling of the conflict, mirroring a broader discontent within the community. Additionally, a substantial majority (68%) advocate for halting military aid to Israel, urging the U.S. to leverage its influence for ceasefire negotiations instead. The findings also unveil a rising tide of discrimination faced by Arab Americans, particularly the youth between 18 to 34 years of age. A significant number reported experiencing bias based on their ethnicity or national origin, heightening fears within the community. The ongoing violence in the Middle East resonates deeply, with eight out of 10 respondents expressing anxiety over escalating anti-Arab bigotry and two-thirds apprehensive about rising antisemitism in the U.S.
Amid the recent turmoil in Palestine and Israel, half of the Arab American respondents expressed concerns about encountering discrimination in va