Khazen

Image: Ekrem Imamoglu speaks to the media at CHP offices in Istanbul on June 23, 2019.

By Reuters ISTANBUL — Turkey's main opposition claimed a decisive victory on Sunday in Istanbul's re-run election, dealing one of the biggest blows to President Tayyip Erdogan during his 16 years in power and promising a new beginning in the country's largest city. Ekrem Imamoglu, mayoral candidate of the secularist Republican People's Party, was leading with 54 percent of votes against 45 percent for Erdogan's AK Party candidate, with more than 99% of ballots opened, Turkish broadcasters said. The election was Istanbul's second in three months after results of an initial March vote were scrapped, setting up the do-over as a test of Turks' ability to check what many saw as their president's increasingly authoritarian power. "Today, 16 million Istanbul residents have renewed our faith in democracy and refreshed our trust in justice," Imamoglu told supporters. His AK Party opponent, former Prime Minister Binali Yildirim, congratulated him and wished him "all the luck" in serving Istanbul, Turkey's commercial hub. Erdogan also tweeted his congratulations to the Republican People's Party candidate. Imamoglu had won the original mayoral election on March 31 by a narrow margin, which prompted the Islamist-rooted AK Party to demand a re-run, citing what it said were voting irregularities.

Image: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a ceremony marking 30th death anniversary of the late revolutionary founder Ayatollah Khomeini

By Ken Dilanian  nbcnews.com --WASHINGTON — A limited U.S. strike on Iran of the sort President Donald Trump says he canceled Thursday night could prompt a potent Iranian reaction that in turn might spark a much larger military conflict, current and former U.S. officials and experts tell NBC News. Iran could do enormous damage to the global economy by mining the Strait of Hormuz, the waterway off its coast through which flows 40 percent of the crude oil traded internationally. That action, even if quickly countered by the U.S. Navy, would cause oil prices to spike. But that may not be Iran's first move in response to a limited American bomb and missile attack, experts say. Iran would likely turn first to its proxies, who could inflict major damage on American allies, experts say. Houthi rebels in Yemen could step up attacks against Saudi Arabian infrastructure with missiles and drones. Shiite militias could destabilize Iraq. Hezbollah, the Iran-backed terrorist organization, could attack Israel or other American interests anywhere in the world.

And if Iran wanted to kill Americans, any of those groups could do that on its behalf, with some deniability, said the experts. Shiite militias could overrun the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad and seize hostages. Hezbollah, which, before 9/11, had killed more Americans than any other terror group, could strike in places as far flung as Latin America, where the group has a strong presence. "Traditionally, when faced with this sort of American action, Iran doesn't tend to respond directly and immediately, but they do so asymmetrically and over a period of time," said Ray Takeyh, a former State Department official and Iran expert at the Council on Foreign Relations. Trump said in a tweet Friday that he stopped a U.S. attack on Iran that would have targeted three sites. He told NBC's Chuck Todd in an exclusive interview Friday that, after being told the attack could cost 150 Iranian lives, he decided it was not proportional to the downing of an unmanned spy drone.

(Bloomberg) -- Lebanon’s Eurobonds have entered distressed territory as a budget delay and rising political tension in the region complicate efforts to tackle the nation’s fiscal crisis.The average extra yield investors demand to hold the Arab nation’s debt over U.S. Treasuries climbed to a 10-year high of 946 basis points this week. Among emerging markets not in default, only Zambia and Argentina have wider spreads, according to a Bloomberg Barclays index.Some of Lebanon’s dollar securities, including those maturing in 2022 and 2023, already have spreads above 1,000 basis points.Investors are losing patience as political squabbles stall economic reforms. A long-delayed budget aims to lower the deficit to 7.6% of gross domestic product this year, which would help unlock billions of dollars in aid. Prime Minister Saad Hariri said last week that lawmakers objected to some items after previously agreeing to them, and he ridiculed suggestions that Lebanon would seek a bailout from the International Monetary Fund.“The country is running out of time,” said Raffaele Bertoni, the head of debt-capital markets at Gulf Investment Corp. in Kuwait City. “Unpopular decisions are needed to keep the growing fiscal deficit under control. Until then, Lebanese sovereign bonds will continue to trade in distressed territory.”Inverted CurveAnother sign of stress is the partial inversion in Lebanon’s Eurobond curve, with some shorter-dated notes yielding more than those with longer maturities. That often occurs when countries are near or in default, such as with Venezuela.The IMF estimates Lebanon’s public debt at about 160% of GDP, one of the highest levels in the world. Lebanon has never defaulted on its debt, which was mostly accumulated after the 1975-1990 civil war.Nassib Ghobril, the chief economist at Beirut-based Byblos Bank SAL, said Lebanese Eurobonds are stable. Local institutions hold 86% of the nation’s total debt and most of it is denominated in local currency, he said.Some strategists also say the bonds are too cheap to ignore. Morgan Stanley’s Jaiparan Khurana, who’s based in London, said yields on longer-dated securities have risen to attractive levels. There’s been a “modest improvement” in banking-sector liquidity and reserves are falling more slowly than last year, he said in a note.Political TensionStill, Lebanese notes have lost investors 1.3% on average this month, the worst performance after Suriname in the Bloomberg Barclays EM USD Sovereign Bond Index, which includes 75 countries.The escalation of regional tensions is making investors more concerned, said Carla Slim, Standard Chartered Plc’s Dubai-based economist. Two oil tankers were attacked last week near the Strait of Hormuz, an incident that the U.S. and Saudi Arabia have blamed on Iran.Iran provides financial support to Hezbollah, a Lebanese militant group designated by the U.S. and U.K. as a terrorist organization. Saudi Arabia backs the Sunni political party headed by Hariri.As the U.S. ratchets up pressure on Iran, the risk premium on Lebanese debt rises, said Slim.Budget ImplementationInvestors’ main focus now is on whether the government can fix its finances.“While Lebanon will probably be able to muddle through this year, the key downside risk lies in restoring confidence at both the depositor and investor level,” said Slim, who forecasts a fiscal deficit of 9.5% for this year.The budget proposes sharp cuts in spending, higher income taxes and a halt in public-sector hiring. It still needs to be passed by parliament, where it may find fierce resistance from lawmakers.“No party seems willing to cede any of their privileges,” said Alia Moubayed, a researcher in London with Jefferies International Ltd. “The faster the credibility of policy and policymakers erodes, the higher the risk premia and the greater the need for an externally sponsored arrangement that brings discipline and predictability to policy implementation.”(Updates with quote in final paragraph.)To contact the reporters on this story: Abeer Abu Omar in Dubai at aabuomar@bloomberg.net;Paul Wallace in Lagos at pwallace25@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Justin Carrigan at jcarrigan@bloomberg.net, Dana El BaltajiFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

(Bloomberg) -Abeer Abu Omar and Paul Wallace- Lebanon’s Eurobonds have entered distressed territory as a budget delay and rising political tension in the region complicate efforts to tackle the nation’s fiscal crisis. The average extra yield investors demand to hold the Arab nation’s debt over U.S. Treasuries climbed to a 10-year high of 946 basis points this week. Among emerging markets not in default, only Zambia and Argentina have wider spreads, according to a Bloomberg Barclays index. Some of Lebanon’s dollar securities, including those maturing in 2022 and 2023, already have spreads above 1,000 basis points.

Investors are losing patience as political squabbles stall economic reforms. A long-delayed budget aims to lower the deficit to 7.6% of gross domestic product this year, which would help unlock billions of dollars in aid. Prime Minister Saad Hariri said last week that lawmakers objected to some items after previously agreeing to them, and he ridiculed suggestions that Lebanon would seek a bailout from the International Monetary Fund. “The country is running out of time,” said Raffaele Bertoni, the head of debt-capital markets at Gulf Investment Corp. in Kuwait City. “Unpopular decisions are needed to keep the growing fiscal deficit under control. Until then, Lebanese sovereign bonds will continue to trade in distressed territory.”

by thenational.ae —Beirut airport has introduced new procedures allowing foreign travellers to skip time-consuming arrival and departure cards. The new measure was …

Khazen History

Historical Feature:
Churches and Monasteries of the Khazen family