
by Natasha Bertrand
The assassination on Monday of Russia’s ambassador to
Turkey at an art gallery in Ankara is unlikely to fracture
relations between the two countries as they work to improve their
tumultuous relationship, analysts said. “On the contrary, both Russia and Turkey will point to the
murder as reason why they should cooperate more closely in
fighting terrorism,” geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer, president
of the political risk firm Eurasia Group, told Business Insider
on Monday.
“Erdogan will surely express great regret to the Russian,
and acknowledge that Turkey must do more in their domestic
security environment,” Bremmer said, referring to Turkish
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. “That means more crackdowns at
home, but not a sudden blowup with Moscow.”
The death of the ambassador, Andrey Karlov, immediately prompted
comparisons to the assassination of Austrian Archduke Franz
Ferdinand in Sarajevo in 1914 that led Austria-Hungary to declare
war on Serbia, which ultimately sparked World War I.
But statements released by Russian and Turkish officials in
the aftermath of Karlov’s death suggested Moscow and Ankara were
determined not to let the incident derail their
rapprochement. Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yıldırım said in a statement
that the government would not allow the assassination to harm
Russian-Turkish relations.
Erdogan echoed Yildirim’s sentiment,
calling the attack “provocation” aimed at damaging Turkey’s
normalization of ties with Russia. He said that Turkey and Russia
will jointly investigate the assassination, reiterating that
“intense cooperation with Russia” over Aleppo was “helping
to save lives.” “I call out to those who are trying to break this relationship,”
Erdogan continued, “Your expectations are wasted.”







