A country going through crazy times, it should have come as no surprise that Lebanon’s real estate prices doubled. "It’s completely ridiculous and against all forecasts of a difficult political situation. No one wants to sell at normal rates, everyone has now doubled their price," said Patrick Geammal, chairman and managing director of ASCOT. Whether real or imagined, such predictions have made their mark on sellers’ expectations and deals have stalled.
"If before the price of land was $2,000, they now want $4,000, but if you are willing to pay $4,000, they want $8,000," Geammal laughed.
Guillaume Boudisseau of Ramco Real Estate Advisors said he faced the same problem but believed that sellers cannot dictate prices. "They just don’t understand that they can’t set their own price," he said, adding that, "it’s mathematically based on the value of surrounding land."
Land scarcity is also a factor in pricing. In prime locations such as Ashrafieh, Hamra, Verdun, and Ramlet al-Baida, plots of land could be found two years ago. Today, however, there are only a few remaining plots, which is putting pressure on prices. "So those that held on to their lands are now asking ridiculous prices and making the market grow," said Geammal.
Prices have increased by 20% since March, prior to the clairvoyant’s prediction. "Growth is everywhere," said Nabil Gebrael, chairman of Caldwell Banker. He further stated prices only plateau during tough times for the market and resume to a steady increase once the market returns to normal. This phenomenon is due to two important factors: First, Beirut as a capital city is still inexpensive per square-meter compared to neighboring capitals such as Damascus and Amman. Second, building materials — steel, concrete, tiles, and fixtures — have increased due to the declining dollar against the euro. "In Lebanon, real estate is determined by cost, not market demand," insisted Gebrael. Bank Audi reported that the Construction Cost Index from end-2006 to end-June 2007 increased by 9.4%.