جريدة "النهار" في 03 تشرين الأوّل 2007 ـ صفحة القضايا

سجعان قزي

الظروفُ الإقليميةُ والدوليةُ المحيطةُ بانتخاباتِ رئاسةِ الجمهوريةِ سنةَ 2007 تُشْبِه، في أوجُهٍ عديدة، ظروفَ انتخاباتِ سنةِ 1982: صراعٌ استراتيجيٌّ، مواقفُ متطرفـةٌ، لعبةُ أممٍ، وحلولٌ راديكاليةٌ على صخورِها تَتحطّمُ المبادراتُ المحلية. وإذا طبيعةُ الصراعِ اليومَ تَغـيّرت، فحِدَّته زادَت مع أطرافٍ جددٍ كـ"القاعدةِ" وإيرانَ وحزبِ الله والأصولياتِ السُـنّـية. سنةَ 1982 واجهَ العالمُ الحر، بقيادةِ أميركا، الشيوعيةَ الدوليةَ عَـبْـرَ حلفائِها في الشرقِ الأوسط ولبنان. واليومَ يَتصدّى العالمُ الحر، بالقيادةِ نفسِها، للأصولياتِ الآسيويّةِ والشرقِ أوسطية عبرَ دولٍ ومنظّماتٍ اتخَذَت من لبنانَ مَـيْداناً ومِنصةً وقاعدة.

في المنطقةِ، حَـلّت القاعدةُ وإيران وسوريا مكانَ الاتحادِ السوفياتي. في لبنانَ، أخَذ حزبُ الله وتجمُّـعُ 8 آذار ولقاءُ 14 آذار أدوارَ منظمةِ التحريرِ الفِلسطينية والحركةِ الوطنية والجَبهةِ اللبنانية. في فِلسطين، احتلّت حماسُ والجِهادُ الإسلاميُّ الصدارةَ مكانَ منظّمةِ فَـتْح. وإلى الصراعِ العربي ـ الإسرائيليِّ المستَمِرُّ، تَفجَّر الصراعُ السُـنّي ـ الشيعي على خلفيةٍ فارسيّـةٍ ـ عربية.

هذا الصراعُ الحضاريُّ والدينيُّ والسياسيُّ والاقتصاديُّ كان يَنقُصه صاعقُ تفجيرٍ جديدٍ بعدَ صاعِقَيْ بن لادن في أفغانستان وصدّام حسين في العراق، فجاء عَبر سَعيِ إيران إلى اقتناءِ السلاحِ النوويِّ والهيمنةِ على شعوبِ المِنطقة. وإذا كانت الدولُ العربيةُ والأوروبيةُ سنةَ 1982 تَحفَّظت عن الحربِ الإسرائيليةِ ضد الفِلسطينيين لوجودِ قضيةِ شعبٍ فِلسطيني، فلن تَـنْـتَحِبَ اليومَ على إيران النوويّةِ، وسوريا المُشاغِبةِ، وحزبِ الله المحتفِظِ بسلاحٍ مدَمِّـرٍ رُغم انسحابِ إسرائيل من لبنان منذ سنةِ 2000 (مع احترامنا مزارعَ شِبعا).

By Nafez Qawas, NEW YORK: Resolution 1701, the permanent settlement of Palestinians, the presidential poll, and Israeli violations were the main issues addressed by President Emile Lahoud in his address to the UN’s 62nd General Assembly on Friday Lahoud called for international support and assistance for Lebanon to prevent the country from falling apart. "Some states are trying to interfere in Lebanon’s internal affairs against international norms … I urge the international community to prevent and halt these interferences for they are increasing the existing tensions in the county," he added.

President Lahoud said foreign interference in Lebanese domestic issues "could instigate hatred and increased tensions on the Lebanese scene, a matter which not only might have negative repercussions on the upcoming presidential election, but on the safety of the Lebanese as well." Lahoud reiterated Lebanon’s commitment to the implementation of Resolution 1701, and denounced all related Israeli violations. "The implementation of  Resolution 1701 requires the liberation of the Shebaa Farms and the Kfar Shouba Hills in the South of Lebanon, in addition to the release of all Lebanese detained in Israel," said Lahoud.

Lebanon’s central bank has revealed the combined profits of the commercial banks operating in the country increased by 6.8% in the first seven months of the year, in spite of ongoing political turmoil which has badly damaged much of the economy, reported the Daily Star. The combined profits had reached $451m by the end of July, while customer deposits increased by 5.8% to $64.2bn over the same period.

daily star, BEIRUT: Defying all odds, Lebanese banks maintained their steady profits and growth in the first seven months of this year. According to the Central Bank, the combined profits of all the commercial banks operating in the country reached $451 million in the first seven months of 2007, an increase of 6.78 percent compared to the same period of 2006. The Central Bank also said that capital inflows and remittances have improved in the month of July. It added that the balance of payments in the month of July alone recorded a surplus of $363 million.

At the end of 2006, the combined net income of these banks reached more than $665 million.These impressive results were achieved amid political and security turbulence which have hit most economic sectors in the country. The consolidated balance sheets of commercial banks in the first seven months of this year jumped by 9.79 percent to $79.586 billion while customer deposits increased by 5.8 percent to $64.205 billion in the same reporting period. It is worth noting that the 10 top banks in Lebanon – including BLOM, Audi, Byblos and Bank of Beirut – control more than 70 percent of the market share. In the month of July alone, the deposits rose by $1 billion while assets jumped by $550 million. Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh told the Association of Banks in Lebanon (ABL) at its last meeting that banks are expected to achieve a growth of 6 to 7 percent at the end of 2007 if the situation remains relatively calm.

But ABL president Francois Bassil said in a statement to the Central News Agency that the profits of the banks may dwindle if the presidential election is not held on time. He warned banks may be forced to increase the provisions on nonperforming loans and this will affect profits in general. Economists and bankers are holding their breath as rival politicians try to push their own candidates for the presidency.

التواصل ضرورة خصوصا ان الطريق لم يعد مقطوعا امــــام الاطراف" 
الخازن: لقاءات اليوم تسهّل اجراء انتخاب رئاسي لا يكون سببا لازمة جديدة

المركزية – اعتبر عضو تكتل "التغيير والاصلاح" النائب فريد الخازن ان التواصل مسألة ضرورية خصوصا ان الطريق لم يعد مقطوعا بين بعض الاطراف.  ورأى في لقاءات اليوم في المجلس النيابي أمر جيّد يسهّل ويمهّد اجراء انتخابات رئاسية لا تكون سببا لازمة جديدة في البلاد، مشددا على ان العمل الجدي للدخول في الاستحقاق الرئاسي يفترض تشاورا وتواصلا مع الجميع.  وقال في حديث الى اذاعة "صوت لبنان" ردا على سؤال: "المهلة الدستورية لانتخاب رئيس للجمهورية تبدأ اليوم. وامامنا نحو شهرين لانتخاب الرئيس وهذا أمر طبيعي ان لا يتم انتخاب رئيس للجمهورية في اليوم الاول لهذه المهلة حتى في الظروف العادية، في مرحلة سابقة قبل الحرب في لبنان لم يتم الانتخاب في اليوم الاول من المهلة الدستورية لكن اليوم يبدأ العمل جدياً لانتخاب رئيس جمهورية من اليوم حتى انتهاء المهلة، وأرى اننا اليوم دخلنا المرحلة الجديّة والعمل الجدي للتوصل الى توافق والى انتخاب رئيس جمهورية بحسب الاصول الدستورية".  اضاف: "يجب ان لا ننسى اننا اليوم ندخل المهلة الدستورية ونحن في أزمة سياسية والبلاد في أزمة مرتبطة بالحكومة منذ نحو عشرة شهور ولا بد من التمهيد والتشاور والتواصل، ولكن التواصل مقطوع كما هو معروف للتوصل الى إتمام الاستحقاق الرئاسي بحسب الاصول الدستورية".  وعن التواصل على خط كتلة "التغيير والاصلاح" قال: "من جهتنا سيكون وفدا يمثل التكتل ليلتقي الرئيس بري، وبما ان اليوم الجلسة تشاورية واذا تم الاتفاق اليوم على انتخاب رئيس جمهورية نحن جاهزون لهذا الامر لكن كما هو واضح ولا نكشف سرا عندما نقول ان الاجواء اليوم ليست مهيّأة بالشكل المطلوب وايضا هناك خلاف حول تفسير الدستور".

A bitterly divided Lebanese parliament adjourned Tuesday without officially beginning the process of selecting a new president.Two-thirds of members must attend before an official session can be held. The next session has been scheduled for October 23.Members of parliament arrived in armored convoys, traveling under the protection of security details. The downtown area was sealed off as concrete barriers diverted the normal flow of traffic.

BEIRUT (AFP) – Dozens of Lebanese lawmakers gathered under heavy security in parliament on Tuesday for a crucial session aimed at electing a president and ending a long-running crisis that has paralysed the country. Many MPs arrived at the legislature in central Beirut under heavy military escort from a nearby luxury hotel.Several MPs stood outside the building briefly and held up a banner bearing the names and pictures of six fellow lawmakers killed since 2005 in attacks The latest victim, Antoine Ghanem, was assassinated last week in a car bombing in a Beirut suburb."We were forced out, don’t choose to be forced out" read the banner in a supposed message from the grave

One MP, Ghinwa Jalloul, waved a Lebanese flag from her car and held up a picture of former prime minister and MP Rafiq Hariri whose assassination in February 2005 lies at the root of the current crisis."Long live Lebanon," she shouted to reporters before entering the building.The perimetre around the imposing structure was off-limits to normal traffic after elite troops and tanks deployed in the area. Checkpoints were also set up throughout the city creating traffic jams, and many businesses were shut.Ali Bazzi, an MP with the opposition Amal movement, reiterated that his camp would only take part in Tuesday’s session if the feuding political parties agreed on a consensus candidate.

But many MPs said that was unlikely to happen, and the session was expected to focus on consultations among the rival parties.Several MPs said that speaker Nabih Berri would probably adjourn Tuesday’s session and call for parliament to reconvene around October 16 or 17, after the Muslim holy month of Ramadan.

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Khazen.org offers its deepest condoleances to the families of Antoine Ghanem, Nuhad Gharib,  Tony Daou, Charles Chikhani, Sonia Baroudi.

Times, 21 sept,  Huge crowds turned out in Beirut today for the funeral of an anti-Syrian MP whose assassination this week could derail a tense parliamentary vote to chose a new Lebanese president. Pallbearers threaded their way through a forest of Lebanese flags as they carried the coffins of Antoine Ghanem and his two bodyguards Nuhad Gharib and Tony Daou through the Furn el-Chebbak district, where the Phalange Party MP had his constituency.