أنا المكلَّفُ وحكومتي المواعيدُ

سجعان قزي

@AzziSejean

كنا نَعجِزُ عن تأليفِ حكومة، فصِرنا نَعجِزُ عن تسميةِ رئيسٍ مكَلَّف. لا يستطيعُ لبنانُ مفاوضةَ صندوقِ النقدِ الدُوليِّ وإجراءَ إصلاحاتٍ وتَسَوّلَ مساعداتٍ ولا يؤلِّفُ حكومة. لا يستطيعُ لبنانُ التزامَ قراراتِ الأممِ المتَّحِدة والتعاطي مع المجتمعَين العربيِّ والدُوليِّ ولا يؤلّفُ حكومة. لا يستطيعُ لبنانُ وضعَ استراتيجيّةٍ دفاعيّةٍ وعقدَ مؤتمراتِ حوارٍ وطنيٍّ ولا يؤلِّفُ حكومة. لا يَستطيعُ لبنانُ البقاءَ دولةً واحدةً وإنقاذَ شعبِه مِن الفَقرِ والذُلِّ والموتِ والانهيار ولا يؤلِّفُ حكومة. إنَّ تَعمُّدَ افتعالِ فَراغٍ شرعيٍّ يُعيدُ لبنانَ إلى عهدِ المتصرفيّةِ في أفضلِ الأحوال، وإلى عهدِ القائمقاميَّتين، وربّما القائمقاميّاتِ، في أسْوَئها.

منذ أنْ وَطِئَ حزبُ الله الحياةَ السياسيّةَ بصُحبةِ "التيّارِ الوطنيِّ الحرّ" اخْتلَّت مواعيدُ الاستحقاقاتِ الدستوريّة. وأمْسى الاختلالُ نهجًا سياسيًّا وقاعدةً لأنَّ أحدًا لم يَتصدَّ لذلك منذ اللحظةِ الأولى. اكتفَت القِوى الأُخرى بأخْذِ العلمِ والتعقّلِ الزائدِ والصبرِ الفائض، حتّى اضْطُرّت إلى التكيّفِ مع الواقعِ الجديد من حربِ 2006 مرورًا باحتلالِ وسطِ بيروت 2007ـ واتّفاقِ الدَوحة 2008، وصولًا إلى التسويةِ الرئاسيّة 2016 وما تَلاها. وها هي قِوى المعارضةِ مرتبِكةٌ حيالَ المرحلةِ الحاليّة، ومنقسِمةٌ تجاه تسميةِ رئيسِ الحكومةِ الجديدةِ وقرارِ المشاركةِ فيها، وفي عزِّ تَكرارِ سيناريو المجلسِ النيابيّ. وما نخشاه هو أن نُصبحَ أمام هذه الاحتمالاِت الثلاثة (حربٌ ما ودوحَةٌ ما وتسويةٌ ما) إذا لم تُقْدِم القوى السياديّةُ على المواجهةِ من داخلِ المؤسّساتِ ومن خارجِها.

BEIRUT (by reuters) — Lebanon’s Najib Mikati was named prime minister on Thursday, urging fractious politicians to set aside differences to secure an IMF deal which he said was the only chance to save the country from financial collapse. Facing a politically difficult path to agreeing on a new cabinet, the billionaire tycoon who led three previous governments said Lebanon did not have time for “drowning in conditions and demands” of rival groups over ministerial posts. “We are facing the challenge of either complete collapse or gradual salvation,” said Mikati, referring to the IMF deal that promises $3 billion in support, contingent on reforms that have long been put off by Lebanon’s political elite.

Now in its third year, the financial meltdown has sunk the currency by more than 90 percent, spread poverty, paralyzed the financial system and frozen depositors out of their savings, in Lebanon’s most destabilizing crisis since the 1975-90 civil war. Donor states want Lebanon to enact reforms to address root causes of the crisis, including decades of state waste and corruption, before aid is released. “We have wasted enough time and lost many chances of support from brotherly and friendly countries whose stance has always been clear: ‘Help yourselves so we can help you,'” said Mikati, a Sunni Muslim as required by Lebanon’s sectarian system.

BEIRUT (AP) — Lebanon and Sri Lanka may be a world apart, but they share a history of political turmoil and violence that led to the collapse of once-prosperous economies bedeviled by corruption, patronage, nepotism and incompetence. The toxic combinations led to disaster for both: Currency collapse, shortages, triple-digit inflation and growing hunger. Snaking queues for gas. A decimated middle class. An exodus of professionals who might have helped rebuild. There usually isn’t one moment that marks the catastrophic breaking point of an economic collapse, although telltale signs can be there for months — if not years. When it happens, the hardship unleashed is all-consuming, transforming everyday life so profoundly that the country may never return to what it was. Experts say a dozen countries — including Egypt, Tunisia, Sudan, Afghanistan and Pakistan — could suffer the same fate as Lebanon and Sri Lanka, as the post-pandemic recovery and war in Ukraine spark global food shortages and a surge in prices.

ROOTS OF CRISIS

The crises in Lebanon and Sri Lanka are rooted in decades of greed, corruption and conflict. Both countries suffered a long civil war followed by a tenuous and rocky recovery, all the while dominated by corrupt warlords and family cliques that amassed enormous foreign debt and stubbornly held on to power.

by reuters -- BEIRUT – Lebanon’s caretaker premier Najib Mikati will likely be nominated for a new term on Thursday, political sources said, keeping him at the helm as the country prepares for steep financial and political challenges in the months ahead. If re-installed, Mikati will have to steer Lebanon through an economic recovery plan that aims to secure a $3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout to ease the country’s financial meltdown, one of the worst in modern times. Factions of Lebanon’s political and financial heavyweights remain divided over key issues, including how to address financial sector losses estimated at over $70 billion.

Political sources said Mikati, a billionaire from the northern port of Tripoli, would garner the support of over 50 of 128 parliamentarians, including the powerful Iran-backed Hezbollah, the allied Amal party, and Sunni Muslim lawmakers. They are set to nominate Mikati during consultations with President Michel Aoun on Thursday at the presidential palace in Baabda, party sources told Reuters. If more parliamentarians back Mikati than any other candidate on Thursday, even if they do not comprise an absolute majority, then Aoun will name him to form a government. That process often draws out for months in Lebanon as the main political factions divvy up roles in cabinet and beyond. In theory, Mikati’s new term may not last long: after Aoun’s term ends on Oct. 31, parliament will elect a new president – who names a new premier to form another cabinet.

Aoun’s Free Patriotic Movement will not back Mikati, according to party head Gebran Bassil. The Lebanese Forces Party, a Christian faction close to Saudi Arabia and vociferously opposed to Shi’ite Muslim Hezbollah, announced on Wednesday it would nominate no one. The LF has the largest single-party bloc in parliament. A host of independent newcomer parliamentarians were set to vote for Nawaf Salam, a judge and Lebanon’s former ambassador to the U.N.